Martes, Setyembre 15, 2015

FISCAL AND MACROECONOMICS SUSTAINABILITY

Today is the most interesting day for the " Think Sustainable , Act Responsible "an independent evaluation presentation and high talks organized by ADB  Asian Development Bank, Manila Philippines ( 15-17, 2015) regarding  , Innovative approaches to sustaining progress, Environmental sustainability, Institutions and governance, Fiscal Sustainability and Project Sustainability.

For , Fiscal and Macroeconomics Sustainability , speakers were  Mr. Peter Petri , from Carl J. Shapiro Professor of International Finance, Brandeis International Business School ( IBS),  Mr. Rintaro Tamaki , Deputy Secretary General, Organization for Economic Co-operation and development ( OECD), Marilou Uy , Director , G-24  Secretariat , Intergovernmental Group of Twenty -Four on International Monetary Affairs and development  ( G-24), and Mr. Shang -Jin  Wei, Chief Economist and Director General, Economic Research and Regional Cooperation Department , ADB 

" for medium tern growth rate strategy, the best thing to consider is " avoidance of debt , the key to sustainable growth, perhaps by the delaying the interest rate implementation by the Federal Government of USA would be better for the world economy, thus it causes to maintain the market price stability , promote employment in the immediate course of time, but it poses risk to the world economy at large", said by Mr. Shang -Jin Wei.

" the harder we wait for the corrective interest rate adjustment , might causes us for a mighty hard fall", furtherance of the chief.

Thus the chief , raises three major points for today's today's talk on Fiscal and Macroeconomics Sustainability live panelist talk and open forum . 

" Foreign Direct Investments -over capital flows ( inflow  and outflow), for debt and , banks and mutual funds each countries should have resilient foreign monetary policy as a buffer against the monetary shock, for its ultimately the FDI flows will be the most to suffer to with.

 Adopt a Foreign Capital flow management monetary autonomy , in anticipation for the USA , Federal banks interest rate adjustments which will lead to other countries hegemony of price and interest rate adjustments too.

The interest rate adjustments is expected for a local currency exchange differential pegging it to the volatile exchange rate of the US Dollar. Imagine the large currency exchange rate depreciation , the servicing cost of the currency on the part of the export oriented countries , lost of the confidence in the market place would in effect be real scenario given with the consequences of the adjustment.

Mr. Rintaro Tamaki of OECD , Deputy secretary general  emphasized for the global financial players to "implement well design micro and macro monetary prudential regulation , thus easing the business cycle , speed up the business of lending and borrowing activities , encourage more money and capital leveraging, adequate foreign exchange reserves , support the competitive exports , sufficient servicing needs for the foreign currency debts .

Thus, today's world financial turbulence , started with the easing value of Yuan toUS Dollar , and the intentional strategy of China to be more consumer lead rather than be export oriented economy to cope up the growth desired the China economy , and so with the expected driving force of the global trade, investment and economy as a whole.

Understanding CHINA economy:

Structure -  the China market structure despite of the voluminous demographic market , due to government mandatory population policy is now on a rapid decline , shrinking for about 3 % on annual bases. For now the country is only attaining .8 % capital to GDP ratio on a year to year bases considering the labor cost that is pegged to US Dollar and Euro . The traditional engine growth of manufacturing is narrower , and the China economy is banking its growth on " Innovation" for its future bright prospect.

Irreversible Path- the China economy from its mass trade oriented / investments economy to an open market based ( interest rate ) economy is major decisions yet with a profound effect in the local China perhaps world economy .

Natural progress for world growth miracle- labor market regulations and collective future reforms as China is banking for growth for Infrastructure , the sustainable financing needs and the Investible projects should be clearly at disclose at hand and available in the playing field of PPP Private , Public Partnership.


Mr. Peter  A. Petri, of Brandeis University, raises the issue for the need of Insurance  Company to work and hand in hand with the climate change and sustainable advocates for if Insurance Co is not equated for today's financial turbulence then there will be a world financial disaster . Fund managers , instructive industries ( natural gas) which are hoping for right standards assets for their balance sheets should " need to adopt with the ever changing situations for today's equating the effect of climate change.

Ms Marilou Uy , concluding words for today's financial sustainability forum" emerging and developing world economy growth would a lot of promises but they need to be adoptive , resilient to stand the world economic risk brought by natural and man made risk.

Shang- Jin  Wei , Chief economist of ADB, conclusion for his world economic views on sustainable fiscal policy " dynamic dimension , and sound structural reforms is the engine  for the world economic growth ".



henry estipona
philippines

Linggo, Setyembre 13, 2015

" Coincidence  not luck would be the main principle " , in stock investing . Though, despite of  the technical jargons ,current events  charting , historical performance and future forecast means a lot to the investors , it still the major reasons in winning the game of chance like stocks investments , the word to watch is 'coincidence".Quoting off the logic of the analytical data's and intuition all the right feeling of mode would serve the investors a guiding compass in choosing the right mix of the stocks to invest. 



"Ano domini" 1961 back in England when I discovered the first " Aha" of stocks investing . During that time stocks stock investing is course through the banking system in England. " I bought my first stocks investments products through the Bank of Loyd's . Its was the stocks related to a company in Nigeria with an operation of the securing data's and information . The major source of information then was the print and newspaper. 


Going all around the world for leisure , business and jobs related consultancy in UNEDO, ILO and UNESCO what sticks to my habits of stocks investment  is in the hegemony of the Philippine markets. The Philippine markets is unpredictable  at is  like today " the traffic in EDSA". " So what will you do if you caught in the midst of the traffic?, the transpacific stocks investors literally ask me?


My replied " just make the most of the moment" where ever you have been stranded". If you are inside the bus ,get hook and watch the television ( movie, news, mexican , korean telenovela, japanese anime) or get updated with with your  playlist of songs  via mobile down loaded apps .

Philip Turner on his practical views of Philippine Stock Investing , who personally quoted  Henry Ford, " History never repeat itself" in the arts of technical analysis of the stocks performances . The basic requiem of " buy stocks when it is low, and sell when it is high", is still applicable when a an investors is in hurry of making a profits. But if the investors objective is safekeeping a certain company stocks for long horizons the basic mantra would be still be applicable , however one must be ready for its consequences. To have a presence of control in the company ,pivoting a gateway of investing in minority shares ( common or preferred) is a different subjects to consider. 

However in the Philippines today, once the company were not able to maintain its  SEC (securities and exchange commission and other regulatory bodies ), PSE ( philippine stock exchange) benchmark of the good standing company when it come to reportorial requirements , capitalization standards the company is delisted. Once the company is delisted and you still hold the stocks of the delisted company, the investors is in trouble in disposing his stocks in a profitable margin. His recourse might be on the secondary markets . The stock investors would experience the difficulty of looking a sound minded persons who will invest in the delisted company in a reasonable price. And if the stock investors managed to clinched a good margin out from this delisted stocks , still he cannot escaped the capital gains tax  out from the transferring the stock ownership which is quite higher, which is usually  quoted not in the originally stock price ( par value ) , but in the prevailing market price . 


Mr. Philip Turner, first foray in the Philippines stocks investing  was in 1973 . Blue chips stocks then was the AYALA stocks as was he said.

Blue chip company , for Mr. Philip Turner is when the company passes his acid test benchmarking.
Does the company has a great potential to deal with? Does the management of the company have the right sets of goals and visions for the company? Then , Mr. Philippe Turner finally said , " I will invest only in the company with a clear future".

Mr. Philippe Turner warns investors in the technical jargons differentiation in stocks investing . Similar with the " hardballs "   program titled of the ANC ( ABS-CBN)  programmed channel ,formatted exclusive for the hard talk , with a niche viewers of guys who are sporty , or fun of the hard talk related with the manly decision makers. 

Mr. Philippine Turner , expounded the " hard balls", talks to sports jargon as a metaphorical , idiomatic expressions denoting sure balls.This leads to our conversation  as to what is  the definitive meaning of the soft balls ,footballs and base balls in the American , European and Philippines point of view.


In America the soft ball game is done  by kicking the ball  for which in Europe and Philippines technically the sports categorically  called it  " foot ball", just by the manner of treating the ball. 

Whilst , the  base ball in the Philippines is done by "butting the balls ", I am just curious on how the Americans name and treat it as one of their major past times. Oh !!!, who can forget the New york Yankee team?

In effect, stocks investing is hardball talk for the novice investors even to the season investors alike, the same with sports as we concluded the talk over stocks investing . 


henry estipona
Philippines

Linggo, Setyembre 6, 2015

GABO:LA MAGIA DE LO REAL (Gabo: The Creation of Gabriel Garcia Marquez).


Instituto Cervantes Manila , is back with its traditional every Saturday Film Screening  which had been runs since time immemorial. For the month of September , the center of excellence in Spanish Language proved its worth again in bringing out " world class" thematic movies. Last saturday Sept.05, 2015  Instituto Cervantes screened the life story of the World re known, and Nobel laureate  " Gabo " Gabriel Garcia Marquez .

"To Quote and Paraphrase former United State President William " Bill" Clinton , in retrospecting " Gabo" in one of their official engagement meeting  " Gabo " reminds us the americans in our  illusions for world power and wealth , instead of focusing of the great power of grace and love".


henry estipona
www.on-linexpress.blogspot.com